Alexander Mattison Player Proposal: Expert Bet for Vikings vs. Eagles

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Alexander Mattison has 219 rushing attempts since 2021, and only seven have been for 14 yards or more. Only two have gone for 20 or more. He is very much a short-yardage player.

Mattison finds himself in a tough spot tonight against the Eagles in what should be a late-game script for the Vikings, who are dealing with injuries on the offensive line.

Center Garrett Bradberry is already out. He is a much better run blocker, having allowed the third-most pressures in the NFL last season among centers. Last season, when Bradberry was on the field, the Vikings averaged 4.5 yards per carry. When he was off the field, he was 3.7.

Left tackle Christian Darrisaw is also questionable, and his absence would also be a blow. The Vikings averaged 1.6 fewer yards per carry last season when he was off the field.

Mattison only averaged 0.6 yards before contact last week, and we could see the Vikings using him in the passing game as an extension of the running game. We could also see RB Ty Chandler mix it up a little more to potentially get a spark.

I’m projecting Mattison’s median for the longest run to be closer to 11.5 yards, and every yard in this market is massive. There is a 69% chance it will stay below 13.5 on its longest run and a 61% chance it will stay below 12.5.