Bowling projections for Louisville football after Week 2

With two games down and two wins already under Louisville’s belt, the Cardinals’ bowl prospects are pretty good. That shouldn’t come as a surprise to most, of course, but the bowl projections themselves and adjustments to win totals provide some intrigue.

Louisville’s preseason ranking of 40th in Bill Connelly’s SP+ fell to 51st after the wild Georgia Tech game, but shot up to 27th after exceeding expectations in its blow against Murray State. And Louisville’s wins over Georgia Tech and Murray State have helped improve ESPN FPI projections for them, as their projected record for the Cardinals improved from a 6.9-5.2 record (7-5 ​​real world) to 8.3-3.9 (8-4), which is roughly 95.1% chances of reaching bowl eligibility. And here’s how FPI projects the Cardinals’ chances of winning each of the remaining games:

Indiana – 74.4% (71.2% preseason)

Boston University: 92.1% (78.6%)

State of North Carolina: 56.4% (32.2%)

#9 Notre Dame – 24.7% (21.2%)

Pittsburgh: 44.3% (29.2%)

#21 Duke – 67% (67.6%)

Virginia Tech: 81.4% (71.5%)

Virginia: 78.5 (90.9%)

#22 Miami – 26.7% (29.1%)

Kentucky: 65.6% (41.4%)

Nothing too shocking here. With NC State, Pitt and Kentucky looking more vulnerable than originally expected, those win probability numbers have changed quite a bit and the biggest is now projected to be Louisville to beat Kentucky (I like it). And with Miami’s win over Texas A&M last week, their chance to win was the only one against the Cardinals.

Now comes the fun part…

ESPN:

Tony El Tigre Sun Bowl (Bonagura) – Louisville vs. Washington State

Sun Bowl, El Paso, Texas

December 29, 2:00 pm, ESPN

TaxSlayer Gator Bowl (Schlabach) – Louisville vs. Texas A&M

TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, Florida

December 29 at 12:00 pm ESPN

action network (Brett McMurphy):

Pop Tart Bowl – Louisville vs. the Central Florida Golden Knights

Camping World Stadium, Orlando, Florida

December 28, 5:45 pm ESPN

C.B.S. (Jerry Palma):

Bad Boy Mowers Striped Bowl – Louisville vs. Maryland

Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York

December 28, 2:15 pm ESPN

college football news:

Military bowl presented by Peraton – Louisville vs. UTSA

Marine Corps and Navy Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, Maryland

December 27, 2:00 pm, ESPN

247 sports:

Bad Boy Mowers Striped Bowl – Louisville vs. Rutgers

Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York

December 28, 2:15 pm ESPN

atlon:

Tony El Tigre Sun Bowl – Louisville vs. Oregon State

Sun Bowl, El Paso, Texas

December 29, 2:00 pm, ESPN

College Football Network:

Duke’s May Bowl – Louisville vs. Mississippi State

Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina

December 27, 5:30 p.m., ESPN

Yahoo!

Tony El Tigre Sun Bowl – Louisville vs. Utah

Sun Bowl, El Paso, Texas

December 29, 2:00 pm, ESPN

Totals: Sun Bowl (3), Pinstripe Bowl (2), Gator Bowl, Pop-Tarts Bowl (brown sugar and cinnamon are best), Mayonnaise Bowl, Military Bowl.

Entering Week 3, the Sun Bowl remains the favorite with the Pinstripe Bowl right behind them. I’m not even going to try to get excited about spending my vacation at the border in El Paso because, like the last two years, it’s going to be ripped away from me.

Bon voyage to all those heading to the most exciting city in America this weekend.

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