[ad_1]
Dodgers vs Mariners Odds
Friday, September 15
10:10 pm Eastern Time
MLB.TV
| Dodgers Odd | ||
|---|---|---|
| money line | Total | running line |
|
-110 |
7.5 -118 / -104 |
-1.5 -118 |
| sailors Odd | ||
|---|---|---|
| money line | Total | running line |
|
-106 |
7.5 -118 / -104 |
+1.5 -104 |
Los Angeles and Seattle will begin a high-quality interleague matchup on Friday. The Dodgers own a magic number of four before they can officially celebrate another NL West title, while the Mariners enter with a 1.5-game lead over the Blue Jays for the final wild card spot.
George Kirby (3.48 ERA, 165 2/3 IP) will make his first start since some mildly controversial comments surrounding his Sept. 4 start in Tampa. He will face 24-year-old flamethrower Bobby Miller (3.98 ERA, 101 2/3 IP).
The must-have app for MLB bettors
Best MLB Betting Scoreboard
Free Picks from Proven Pros
Live winning probabilities for your bets
Bobby Miller has stayed true to form over the last five outings, even if his 4.18 actual ERA is slightly disappointing. He pitched to a single-game average xFIP of 3.76 and lowered his xwOBA to .295 in those five matchups. He now owns a 3.62 xERA this season.
Miller’s electric talent suggests that his strong underlying results should continue and that he will indeed live up to his first-round pick. He possesses a 125 Stuff+ rating, with elite marks on his fastball and slider. Location+ rates him better than average with a mark of 102. His arm talent has been on full display in the last three matchups, as opposing hitters have a 29% miss rate, which is the highest mark in a starter in that span.
Allowing home runs in four straight games has hurt Miller’s earned run totals, but his underlying profile still demonstrates his dominant potential.
Los Angeles has hit a wRC+ of 124 over the last 30 days. He has a BB/K ratio of 0.47 in that span and has made soft contact just 14.9% of the time.
It’s been a bit of a tough stretch for George Kirby, who missed a couple of important starts due to illness and hasn’t shown his best form in two appearances since. After allowing two runs in the seventh against Tampa, Kirby got some hot water for saying, “To be honest, I wish I hadn’t been there in the seventh, because I had 90 pitches. “I didn’t think I had to leave anymore.”
He will have a great opportunity to fill this crucial position at home with the Mariners in a tight playoff race. Kirby has pitched well at home this season, posting a 2.87 ERA and 0.87 WHIP.
His numbers have dipped a bit in the second half of the season, as he owns a 4.19 ERA since the All-Star break. He has averaged a 3.62 xFIP over his last five starts, which is consistent with his season-long mark.
Kirby has a Material+ of 105 and has put his quality arsenal to good use with elite command. Walking just 16 of 661 batters (2.1%) gives him the highest BB rate among qualified starters this season. He has a Location mark + of 109.
Seattle has put together its best offensive streak of the season by some margin with a 134 wRC+ over the last 30 days. The BABIP Mariners during that time rank second in the league. His K% of 24.9% is concerning, and his BB/K ratio of 0.34 is fifth worst.
The betting tools used by professionals.
The best bets and signals for each game.
Projections from proven professionals
Profitable Betting System Selections
Dodgers vs. Mariners
Bet selection and prediction
The Dodgers’ lineup deserves to be viewed as a more potent unit than the Mariners, even if Seattle’s recent surge against soft pitching staffs masks that fact to some extent. For this game to be a pick’em, Kirby needs to offer a decisive advantage over Miller, and as I’ve already noted, my position is that that’s not the case.
The Dodgers deserve to be a slight favorite in this matchup, and betting them at -110 or higher provides value. Targeting the Dodgers at -115 to win the first five is another solid option. However, considering how the Los Angeles bullpen has stabilized over the last five or six weeks and their stronger lineup, taking the full game price of -110 is my preferred option and I’m willing to take on Seattle’s elite bullpen .
How would you rate this article?
This site contains commercial content. We may receive compensation for links provided on this page. The content of this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network does not represent or guarantee the accuracy of the information provided or the outcome of any game or event.
#Dodgers #Mariners #prediction #today #MLB #Odds #Picks #Friday #September