Odds between FIU and UConn
Saturday September 16
3:30 pm Eastern Time
CBS Sports Network
-105o / -115u
|University of Connecticut Odd|
-105o / -115u
As a college football nut, there is nothing better than watching FIU vs. UConn in the middle of a hurricane.
This total has already gone from 46 to 40.5 and the differential has gone from UConn -11 to -7.
I can’t wait to see a mud ball. Turnovers, slips and sloppy play everywhere. What can’t be expected?
Florida International Panthers
The FIU Panthers are 2-1, but their only loss came in a respectable performance against Louisiana Tech. However, they also had a big scare against Maine and won as double-digit underdogs against North Texas.
So what do we do with all that?
Well, I’m not entirely sure.
FIU could be a big wild card this season. I have a feeling there will be incredible victories and crushing defeats.
However Am What I am sure of is that this team is better prepared to play in a hurricane. The Golden Panthers rank in the top 40 in rushing PPA and top 20 in offensive explosiveness.
On the defensive side of the ball, they rank in the middle of the pack in Run PPA Allowed and Run Success Rate Allowed.
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The Huskies played NC State tough before being defeated on the road by Georgia State. UConn has been terrible against the run and ranks in the bottom 30 in both Run PPA Allowed and Run Success Rate Allowed.
The Huskies have also been terrible at running the ball and rank in the bottom 30 in both PPA and Rushing Success Rate.
That doesn’t bode well for the weather forecast for Saturday.
The Huskies are clearly trying to establish an identity as a team that moves the ball through the air. UConn is passing on 54% of its offensive plays, which ranks 33rd in the country.
Unfortunately, the Huskies aren’t very effective through the air, ranking 84th in passing PPA, 84th in passing success rate, and 83rd in passing explosiveness.
I don’t see those metrics improving in inclement weather.
FIU vs. UConn
Bet selection and prediction
This is a showdown of perennial basement dwellers in heavy rain.
Anything can happen.
UConn is probably the more talented team, but the weather is a surprising balancing factor.
I’m going to root for chaos and bet on FIU to get another good win.
Choose: FIU Moneyline (+255)
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