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Sunday September 17
8:20 pm Eastern Time
NBC
dolphins Odd | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | money line |
-2.5 -110 |
46 -110o / -110u |
-150 |
Patriots Odd | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | money line |
+2.5 -110 |
46 -110o / -110u |
+125 |
Most valuable prop bets for Dolphins vs. Patriots on Sunday Night Football involves Tua Tagovailoa, Mac Jones and Juju Smith-Schuster.
Action Network’s proprietary betting algorithms have produced the three most valuable player fixtures for Sunday Night Football: Dolphins vs. Patriots.
The algorithms for Dolphins vs. Patriots are developed by our predictive analytics team, which makes empirical predictions on every game with value and has created popular benchmark statistics such as Luck Rankings.
Today we write about the public’s favorite choices.
- Mac Jones will rush for more than 5.5 yards (-105)
- Tua Tagovailoa will rush for more than 4.5 yards (-122)
- Juju Smith-Schuster will record over 31.5 receiving yards (-114)
Dolphins vs. Patriots
Where is the value?
The algorithms are interested in both quarterbacks dipping and running more than normal due to poor defensive lines: The Dolphins and Patriots rank in the bottom half of their front three. While both teams also don’t have the best offensive lines in the league, the lack of a consistent pass rush should allow both quarterbacks to spread out and stretch for first downs when progressions fail more than would normally be allowed.
Patriots quarterback Mac Jones, for example, is projected to rush for eight yards that night for a total of 5.5. Meanwhile, Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is projected for seven yards on a total of 4.5 yards.
The best price on the market for Jones is with PointsBet at -105 vig. The best price for Tagovailoa’s rushing yards is on BetRivers with a vig of -122.
Patriots wide receiver Juju Smith-Schuster has the third most valuable prop of the night, according to our algorithms. Smith-Schuster is projected to gain about 42 yards in this matchup, on average. Meanwhile, FanDuel has the best price on the market with 31.5 yards (-114).
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