NFL Week 2 Betting Preview: How to Bet $20 on Sunday

It’s Week 2 and you’re looking for a little action in NFL games, but not too much. You are not trying to beat the lines or make a bankroll. We’ve got you covered. Here’s how to bet $20 on the NFL in some creative ways this weekend.

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$5 Margin Game: Seahawks (+5) at Lions

The forecast (the line when it was first published over the summer) was Lions -2.5.

So, we’re looking at 2.5 points of movement based on the Seahawks getting blown out by the Rams and the Lions losing to the Chiefs without Travis Kelce and Chris Jones thanks to a fortuitous pick six.

That dog just doesn’t hunt, as my grandfather used to say.

Let’s add some other data points.

According to our own Gilles Gallant:

“According to BetLabs, there have been 62 cases of teams losing by double digits in Week 1. Those teams are 39-22-1 against the spread (ATS) in Week 2. They also win outright (SU) on 51, 6% of the time (32-30)”.

The Seahawks lost 30-13 to the Rams in Week 1. ✅

Seattle was also Action Network’s Chris Raybon’s top pick this week on the Action Network Podcast’s Sunday Sixpack:

Seattle is receiving more money bet than tickets, according to our BetLabs system. The road dogs at this spot early in the season (weeks 1-4) are 50-28-0 (64%) ATS.

Let’s go for Geno Smith and save the Lions from a monstrous upset.

$5 Total Game: Commanders vs. Broncos under 39 (BetRivers)

This total has lost three points in some places since the first match of 41.

Everyone expects a truly terrifying football match. What’s more fun to bet than that? Come for the profit margin, stay for the hilarity of human failure on the biggest stage.

Since 2019, the Broncos have averaged just 19 points per game at home. When the total is under 40, Denver has only averaged 16.4 points per game.

The Commanders struggled with the Cardinals’ defense last week. Is Arizona’s defense better than expected? Or is the commanders’ offensive terrible? Either way is possible at this point.

Meanwhile, the Broncos scored 16 points (at home, in a divisional rivalry game) to start the “new era” under Sean Payton. And that was against the Raiders, who have ranked as one of the worst defenses in the league. according to most evaluations.

The Broncos actually played efficiently on offense last week, but they simply couldn’t score on long, sustained drives. They also couldn’t get the Raiders off the field.

If the Broncos defense comes out angry and dominates Washington? Excellent. The under will hit.

If the Broncos offense once again can’t reach 20 points? Excellent. The under will hit.

Defensive touchdowns are always a concern, but the Broncos only had one defensive touchdown last season. On the other hand, Washington only had four.

Let’s stand against human achievement and fade Russell Wilson, who had a good game last week and still only scored 16 points.

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Live winning probabilities for your bets

$5 Moneyline Round Robin Game

Bengals -164
Titans +124
Giants -200
Buccaneers -152

Round robins are when parlay combinations are bet. We’re doing three-team parlays at $1.25 each for a potential payout of $20.53.

Bengals: The Ravens are without multiple offensive linemen and the home favorites in divisional games are 92-48 (66%) since 2003.

Titans: Since 2003, home teams that are underdogs by less than 3 points in Week 2 are 14-9 (61%). Additionally, the Chargers are without Austin Ekeler and Joey Bosa is questionable.

Giants: Teams favored after losing to a division opponent in Week 1 are 53-31 in Week 2 (63%). (This also applies to the Bengals.) Plus, the Giants literally couldn’t play worse.

Buccaneers: Home teams facing 1-0 and a 0-1 team are 63-38. We’re fading the Bears.

$5 to play in the same Parlay game

• Chiefs -2.5 (-156)
• Jaguars Over 24.5 (+102)
• Travis Etienne 50+ yards

Here we take theoretically uncorrelated events, following Brandon Anderson’s description in his selections column.

Anderson likes the Chiefs at any number below 3.5, so we’ll pay more to get below the key number of 3. Kansas City needs to win by field goal.

The Jaguars must score points to keep up with the Chiefs and their defense has big question marks in the secondary. So we’ll go over 24.5.

Chris Jones is back with the Chiefs, but Kansas City’s run defense remains its weakness. An explosive career and this should be the end for Etienne.

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