For the second installment of Thursday Night Football, featuring an NFC battle between the Minnesota Vikings and the Philadelphia Eagles, I’m going with a correlated parlay of three games in the same game.
My three picks for the parlay include a moneyline pick and two player props. Continue reading below for my parlay breakdown of the same Vikings vs. Eagles.
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Let’s start with the general stretch: I love that the Eagles are taking care of business at home during a short week.
The reigning NFC champions are dealing with several injuries to key players on their defense. However, his elite career remains intact and he should be able to wreak havoc on Kirk Cousins and the Vikings offense, especially if left tackle Christian Darrisaw (questionable) is unable to play.
Center Garrett Bradbury has already been ruled out, and the Vikings’ running game without Dalvin Cook looked uninspiring against the Bucs in Week 1. The Eagles will look to make the Vikings’ offense one-dimensional.
On the other hand, I’m confident Jalen Hurts and company will shake off the rust against a Vikings defense that’s still looking to find its footing under new defensive coordinator Brian Flores.
Since becoming a Viking last season, Hockenson has caught at least five passes in nine of his 11 complete games, including in each of Minnesota’s four losses.
In fact, in those losses, Hockenson accumulated 38 goals (9.5 per game). Not only are the Vikings one of the most pass-happy teams in the NFL (64.4% passing plays last season; third-highest mark), but Cousins loves to look up to Hockenson when he’s pressed.
The Eagles’ 25.5% pressure rate last season was the second-highest in the NFL. Against Minnesota last year, they were able to get to Cousins on 17 of their 50 dropbacks. I expect some quick, high-percentage throws in Hockenson’s direction to combat the pressure.
25+ receiving yards (-490)
The Eagles love to overcorrect on offense, with the most obvious point being giving the ball to Goedert after he was held out in Week 1.
Last season, with almost the same target competition, Goedert surpassed 25 yards in 10 of his 11 complete regular-season games. He didn’t go consecutive weeks without seeing at least six goals all season.
With head coach Nick Sirianni lamenting the fact that they couldn’t get him the ball against New England, I expect several plays focused on Goedert in the passing game.
The Parlay (+155)
- Eagles Moneyline (-270)
- TJ Hockenson 4.5+ Receptions (-186)
- Dallas Goedert 25+ receiving yards (-490)
Parlay in the same Vikings-Eagles game
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