Seahawks vs Lions odds, picks and predictions: NFL Week 2 preview

Seahawks vs. Lions Odds

Seahawks vs. Odds Lions have upstart Detroit as a 4.5-point favorite as Jared Goff and Detroit look to continue advancing.

Week 2 is known as “Overreaction Week” in the NFL and this line is a perfect example. The Lions are flying high after Thursday night’s upset against the Chiefs, while the Seahawks were embarrassed by the Rams. But these things have a way of balancing each other.

Let’s look at this matchup between Seattle and Detroit, a rematch of a high-scoring affair from last year, and then make a choice between the Seahawks and Lions.

The Seahawks and Lions are remarkably similar teams in many ways.

Both teams exceeded expectations last year; both in the same way. The journeyman quarterbacks in Geno Smith and Jared Goff had career years thanks to excellent plays, doing enough to overcome poor defenses and advance to the playoffs.

Heck, Seattle was literally in the last game of the season when Detroit beat Green Bay, but lost the tiebreaker to the Seahawks.

These teams are quite even. But that’s not how it looked in Week 1, with Detroit beating the Super Bowl champions and Seattle losing by 17 to a Rams team that many thought was dead.

Those results have pushed the line too far in the direction of Detroit.

The Lions were the worst team against the Chiefs and benefited from Kansas City’s injuries and a series of drops, one of which led to a pick-6 (hello, Kadarius Toney), in a one-point victory. Detroit is second in our luck rankings, the second luckiest team in Week 1.

Seattle is near the bottom. The Seahawks played virtually even for three quarters in a tough divisional game that came out ahead when injuries piled up.

The injury report is not kind to Seattle. Both starting tackles are out, and he had to convince 41-year-old Jason Peters to come out of retirement this week. The secondary school is also destroyed.

Still, this is a classic overreaction to Week 1. These two played last October and Seattle was the superior team, winning 48-45 in a game that featured over 500 yards of offense from each side.

Road underdogs coming off a double-digit loss are 18-3 (86%) against the spread (ATS) in Week 2 since 2014, and there’s an avalanche of other trends supporting Seattle. Pete Carroll excels after a loss (61% ATS) and as an underdog (60%).

It’s not that the Seahawks are lacking in All-Pro tackles, and the Lions were in the bottom five in defensive DVOA last season. Seattle’s offense should bounce back.

Seattle +5.5 was my Week 2 active reading pick on Sunday night, and the line is slowly moving lower as expected, but it’s still a little high.

I like Seattle a little less due to injuries, but this number is worth betting on at +4 or higher.

Play the number and bet that the Seahawks will cover.

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